Inteligencia Estrategica

May 15, 2006

What Terrorism Has Done to Surveillance

Filed under: Terrorismo — inteligenciaestrategica @ 5:31 pm

Since 9/11, security has been brought out of the private protection business
and placed squarely into the public consciousness. Federal, state, and local
governments, and all of their associated agencies, have released large
amounts of money into the market for the development and implementation of
devices, systems and strategies to better protect people, institutions, and
all types of vulnerable infrastructure.

The first surge of funding went to first responder groups to address the
communications and monitoring deficiencies brought out in the aftermath of
9/11. More recently, funding for state and city infrastructure systems has
begun flowing. Many of these funding awards are for video surveillance and
communications systems integrated back to central monitoring, most
prominently in public transportation systems and educational institutions.
Planes, trains, and automobiles, K-12 through university campuses are
deploying camera systems and associated monitoring at a pace far in excess
of anything that would have been normal pre-9/11.

Private No More
When the United States was thought safe and secure, CCTV cameras were deemed
appropriate only for casinos, police, and roadways. Any other use would
intrude on the privacy of the individual citizen.

Since 2001, that concept has turned on its ear. Where the highest camera
counts were typically in the gaming and retail industries pre-2001, and
analog cameras and VHS tape were the only perceived way to get high-speed,
quality images, today's increased camera counts in all other market segments
have caused a massive increase in R&D for digital imaging and processing,
which is quickly pushing the analog approach aside.

Camera Counts and Integration

Where we previously installed systems to identify thieves and vandals after
their damage was done, now we are trying to prevent incidents from taking
place at all. The net effect of this paradigm shift in protection is a
drastically increased requirement for both video coverage and intelligence.
The full integration of this video with other systems is also more evident
now than ever before. The bottom line is the rapid shift away from the
classic, analog-only CCTV solutions to digital encoding and IP or network
transport over open systems connections.

The impact of all of this on the industry is tremendous. Camera counts for
transit, schools, city centers, and retail have increased by 50 to 100% per
installation from what would have been considered typical in the year 2000.

Table 1 is a projection of the changes in camera counts for high-profile
installations in the past few years. No two jobs are alike, but the overall
trend is toward increased video coverage to help in prevention of incidents,
not just post-incident justice.

As camera counts mount at each installation, the requirements for storage of
the digital images are growing almost exponentially, and the size and
quality of the video image is also increasing. Simple CIF images at one to
three frames per second will not prevent much. As a result, there is a large
increase in the cost of storing and retrieving one hour of video (CSRV).

Evaluate Cost of the Entire Process

I think the CSRV metric should be used to drive technologies to reduce this
cost by understanding all of the components required to get the actual video
image digitized, encoded, transported, stored, searched and retrieved. With
this metric, you look at the entire process as the cost element, and you're
not just comparing an analog camera with an IP camera, or a DVR with an
encoder with storage and a server-based recorder with video management
software.

New concepts in motion detection, intelligent video analysis and new
compression codecs all will impact this metric in a positive way. Capturing,
analyzing and storing video only during a recognized event should
drastically reduce the CSRV. Camera counts can also be reduced through the
use of new IP network cameras that have better than megapixel imagers. As
the image resolution increases over 1 megapixel, the field of view can be
greatly increased and still maintain a high-quality image, thus potentially
reducing the number of cameras required.

Shifting from Analog

Recent market projections from leading research firms predict that between
2008 and 2009 we will reach a crossover point at which more IP network
cameras will be sold annually than analog cameras. This shift to IP
networked cameras is a natural progression.

Once video becomes a standard digital data file sitting on a network, it
also can be merged, converged, and filtered against all other kinds of data
for integration into other security systems. The data can even be used for
sales, marketing, and cost-reduction initiatives not usually associated with
this kind of video.

Who's Making Decisions?

The biggest change in video is in the person making the decision on what to
buy and how to install it. The IT/IS group is now in the mix. As more
IP-enabled devices are designed into the solutions, this group will decide
just how it will be done; they will even choose the hardware and software.
The security folks will still decide what and how to protect, but the choice
of components will shift to the IT/IS group or security integrator.

Original source at

http://www.securityinfowatch.com/publication/article.jsp?id=7991

May 12, 2006

Spy satellites being sidelined in terror war

Filed under: Ciencia y Tecnologia, Terrorismo — inteligenciaestrategica @ 4:07 pm

Technology that played an integral role in the Cold War has been condemned by some experts and analysts as irrelevant in the wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, and anywhere else insurgents might operate or attack.

Gone are the days when a satellite would provide US military officials with crucial data about the rank and file of the number one enemy. Today’s small militant cells are unencumbered by boundaries or heavy artillery and are more mobile than traditional armies and therefore harder to track. Both Taliban and al-Qaida leaders are cognizant of satellite orbits and school their fighters in how to avoid detection and the times when the “eye in the sky” is passing over their region.

“Soviets were great believers in making it abundantly clear where the sensitive material was, but al-Qaida doesn’t work way,” said John E. Pike, director of Globalsecurity.org.

Faced with this global shift, the US National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) is trying to reinvent itself for a new kind of warfare that uses relatively low-tech solutions to stump its high-tech gadgetry, which costs US taxpayers some US$7 billion annually.

Cell phone signals are mostly undetected by satellite because they operate on an L-band frequency, which when the current stock of satellites were created was considered too weak to be a security concern.

But with cell phone usage rampant among insurgents and terrorists for coordinating attacks and pinpointing targets, it has become clear that the multi-million dollar orbiters are useless when trying to track their communications.

The same can be said for the internet, which relies on fiber optic cables to transmit data, information that cannot be tracked via satellite.

Adding to their limitations is the fact that satellites spend most of their time flying over parts of the earth that intelligence gatherers “don’t want to see”, noted Pike, who referred to the significant downtime between passes over a target area as a satellite’s “high absentee ratio”.

Factoring in the weather as well, namely cloud coverage, and a satellite might only get one opportunity to survey a suspected terror training ground, which usually can be broken down and abandoned within hours anyway.

Of course, the US has not given up on its array of high-priced celestial gadgetry. The NRO is trying to make inroads into modernizing its satellite fleet to meet the intelligence  challenges of 21st century terror warfare. A new NRO project dubbed Future Imagery Architecture – 12 new satellites with unprecedented image resolution capabilities – is scheduled to be launched by 2013. However, the US$25 billion project has been hampered by budgeting setbacks and technical difficulties. In 2005, much of the work that was allotted to Boeing was taken away and given to rival Lockheed Martin.

In the meantime, the current fleet of US satellites will not go unused, said Pike, noting that the images of Iranian territory were crucial to Washington’s decision to pressure Tehran to give up its nuclear aspirations. The war of wills between the US and Iran has the former threatening strikes if the latter fails to comply with UN inspectors and halt efforts to enrich uranium. Much of the US intelligence on Iran’s refinement capability came from satellite imagery, said experts, and is the basis for the White House’s concern over Tehran’s ambition to build a nuclear bomb. In that sense, the satellites continue to play a crucial role in US foreign policy, but when Iran responds with suicide bombers, they won’t help,” opined Pike bleakly.

Some terror experts noted that less advanced technology might be the solution to combating terror cells, noting that an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) flying thousands of meters over a target area can gather more information than a satellite in space can. UAVs like the hand-launched Raven used in Iraq and Afghanistan are used by US forces to fly over suspected terror havens like caves or buildings. The advantage of the UAV over the satellite is its capability to make multiple passes over the same target in a short period of time and relay the information via live video feed.

But Winslow Wheeler, director of the Straus Military Reform Project at the Center for Defense Information in Washington, noted that the UAVs had “lots of limitations”. The small aircraft tend to be noisy and slow, making them easy targets for terror sharpshooters, said Wheeler, adding that the resolution of the on-board camera was low.

“The things they want to see, namely the ‘bad guys’, can see the UAV coming,” he said. The CDI analyst was also critical of the US force’s use of UAVs to, for example, find a hidden weapons cache or track terror cell movements, calling the actions “ludicrous” and that no satellite or UAV could out perform first-hand intelligence gathering. “We [US forces] keep trying to solve human problems with technology and it’s not likely to happen,” said Wheeler.

While the Americans may be souring on celestial espionage, other nations appear committed to space surveillance. Last month, Russia launched for Israel a spy satellite for keeping tabs on Iran.

The latest addition to the cadre of spy satellites orbiting the globe – Israel’s Eros B, set to orbit alongside its predecessor Eros A – was designed to spot objects as small as 70 centimeters across, and according to Israeli officials, will allow Tel Aviv to gather information on Tehran’s nuclear program and monitor its long-range missile, which is capable of striking Israel. “This satellite will enhance our ability to collect quality intelligence at great distances from Israel," said Defense Minister Shaul Mofaz after the April launch. "Israel proved once again that it first counts on itself when it comes to protecting its citizens and is at work all the time to develop advanced and new technological means to deal with the threats around us."

Just how effective Israel’s new eye in the sky is in tracking enemies of the Jewish state remains to be seen. 

Original by ISN Security Watch

May 6, 2006

Quieren restringir mensajes terroristas en la ONU

Filed under: Terrorismo — inteligenciaestrategica @ 7:16 pm

NACIONES UNIDAS, 3 may (IPS) – La ONU (Organización de las Naciones Unidas) se propone convocar una conferencia internacional que dicte guías éticas para periodistas que cubren cuestiones relacionadas con el terrorismo, según el informe de inminente presentación. En lo que se interpretó como un llamado a prohibir la entrevista a terroristas, Annan sostuvo que la sociedad civil y los medios de comunicación deberían contrarrestar los "mensajes hipernacionalistas y xenófobos que glorifican el asesinato masivo y el martirologio".

En un informe de 32 páginas sobre terrorismo publicado este martes, Annan destacó la experiencia de países que adoptaron códigos voluntarios de conducta para periodistas que cubren el terrorismo, incluida la prohibición de entrevistar a quienes lo promueven. Los medios de prensa deberían considerar esas experiencias, afirmó Annan. IPS accedió a este informe precisamente este miércoles, cuando se celebraba el Día Mundial de la Libertad de Prensa. El estudio encargado a Annan en septiembre por la Cumbre Mundial, a la que asistieron unos 150 jefes de Estado y de gobierno en el recinto de la Asamblea General de la ONU, será presentado a ese órgano el día 11. La ONU, según Annan, está dispuesta para trabajar con asociaciones de periodistas y organizaciones defensoras de la libertad de prensa, incluso a través de la convocatoria de una conferencia internacional.

El mes pasado, medios de comunicación de todo el mundo emitieron grabaciones de audio y de video con declaraciones de dirigentes de la red terrorista Al Qaeda, como el líder de la organización Osama bin Laden, Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi y Ayman Al-Zawahiri.

Estados Unidos ofreció 50 millones de dólares por la captura de los tres, vivos o muertos. Eso no impidió que las palabras de Bin Laden, Al-Zarqawi y Al-Zawahiri fueran profusamente divulgados por medios de prensa y electrónicos, en especial del mundo árabe. El gobierno de Estados Unidos identificó a Bin Laden como el principal autor intelectual de los ataques que segaron 3.000 vidas en Nueva York y Washington el 11 de septiembre de 2001. Al-Zawairi es considerado su segundo, y Al-Zarqawi, el líder de la insurgencia en Iraq. "En Gran Bretaña, el gobierno prohibió la emisión de entrevistas a miembros del Ejército Republicano Irlandés (IRA) y terminó negociando con ellos", recordó el periodista Ian Williams, corresponsal en la ONU de la revista estadounidense The Nation, columnista de MaximsNews y del blog DeadlinePundit. "Cuando fui presidente de la Asociación de Corresponsales de la ONU, invitamos a dirigentes de Sinn Fein (brazo político del IRA) como protesta contra tales formas de censura", dijo Williams a IPS.

"La libertad de información es demasiado importante como para ponerla en riesgo por definiciones histéricas de funcionarios de cualquier gobierno. El deber de un periodista es hacer preguntas difíciles y escarbar en cualquier actor político, sea 'combatiente por la libertad', 'terrorista', representante electo o autoproclamado tirano", según Williams.

En cuanto a la posibilidad de realizar una conferencia internacional al respecto, lo consideró útil, aunque advirtió que no se le debe confiar a ningún gobierno el control de la información o decretar qué o a quién deben mostrar los medios de comunicación.

En su informe, Annan opinó que "los medios son explotados todos los días por terroristas". "Necesitamos asumir el desafío de emparejar esa narrativa de odio con la narrativa de las víctimas, la narrativa de las comunidades divididas y rotas por actos terroristas, la narrativa del coraje de quienes arriesgan sus vidas para cumplir con su trabajo diario, la narrativa de los valores que defienden las Naciones Unidas", agregó.

Otro ex presidente de la Asociación de Corresponsales en la ONU, Tony Jenkins, corresponsal en Estados Unidos del diario lisboeta Expresso, dijo a IPS: "No tengo problemas con las líneas éticas en sí mismas. Pero el viejo problema espinoso persiste: ¿Quién define quién es terrorista? ¿La ética de quién?". El episodio de las viñetas del profeta Mahoma en la prensa danesa "nos enseña una lección", sostuvo. Tal vez esas ilustraciones fueron de mal gusto o insensibles, pero su publicación no violaba reglas éticas, según los criterios predominantes en Dinamarca, según Jenkins. Pero constituía una clara falta ética para la mayoría de los 1.300 millones de musulmanes del mundo, recordó. "Lo que es peor, creo que el énfasis está desubicado. No se puede censurar en la campaña contra quienes usan métodos terroristas. Más que acallar a Bin Laden, expongámoslo más. Derrotemos sus ideas", dijo el periodista.

Quizás Annan aprovechar el Día Mundial de la Libertad de Prensa para exhortar a poner freno al asesinato y la cárcel que sufren profesionales de la comunicación por intentar ejercer libremente su misión, sostuvo Jenkins. Además, recordó, uno de los peores represores de la libertad de prensa es China, miembro permanente del Consejo de Seguridad de la ONU, recordó. "En Rusia, que también lo es, hemos visto a los medios atacados y controlados por el gobierno", aseguró. En su informe, Annan afirmó que una nueva camada de terroristas depende de la comunicación para consolidar sus bases de apoyo y reclutar nuevos miembros. "Debemos negarles este acceso, particularmente contrarrestando su uso de Internet, vehículo de rápido crecimiento para el reclutamiento de terroristas y la propagación de su propaganda e información", sostuvo.

En 1998, según el informe, había menos de 20 sitios web terroristas. En 2005, eran miles. "De hecho, parece que algunos grandes ataques recientes obtuvieron su apoyo a partir de contenidos en Internet", dijo Annan. "Los terroristas se aprovechan de las diferencias en las respuestas nacionales. Si se les bloquean las operaciones en un estado, pueden simplemente trasladarse a otro. De este modo, Internet puede convertirse en un refugio seguro virtual que desafía las fronteras nacionales", alertó. 

IPS, mayo 3, 2006

May 5, 2006

Google Alert for: terrorist organizations

Filed under: Terrorismo — inteligenciaestrategica @ 6:30 pm

The  <http://enews.ferghana.ru/detail.php?id=938477486851.22,310,3361642>
Kazakh National Security Committee reports extermination of a …
Ferghana.ru – Moscow,Russia
… Success is ascribed to interaction with foreign police forces and
intelligence communities. "Some foreign terrorist organizations even now
regard Kazakhstan as …
Police  <http://www.keralaonline.com/news/newsdisplay.php?newsid=1039>
seizes explosives; polls under terrorist threat.
Kerala Online – Kerala,India
… security across the state has been tightened after recieving messages
from Central intelligence agencies that Pakistan-based terrorist
organizations would try …
What
<http://www.americanchronicle.com/articles/viewArticle.asp?articleID=8398>
Ever Happened to Reforming the UN?
American Chronicle – Beverly Hills,CA,USA
… with arms. Experts contend that Janjaweed has been infiltrated by al
Qaeda and other terrorist organizations. Estimates have more …
Ex-Taliban  <http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/ap/world/3810237.html>
Envoy Warns US to Negotiate
Houston Chronicle – United States
… "We don't negotiate with terrorist organizations and the Taliban
extremists have committed themselves to violence," US military spokesman
Col. …
<http://news.google.com/news?ie=utf8&oe=utf8&persist=1&hl=en&client=go…
cl=http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/ap/world/3810237.html> See all
stories on this topic
Swedish  <http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2006-04/22/content_4459190.htm>
government not to meet Hamas member: spokesperson
Xinhua – China
… Hamas is on the European Union's and the United States' lists of
terrorist organizations and both have frozen assistance to the Palestinian
Authority. Enditem.
Iran Heads  <http://www.thetrumpet.com/index.php?page=article&id=2155> "Axis
of Terror"
theTrumpet.com – Edmond,OK,USA
… A week ago, Iran hosted a three-day conference supporting the new
Palestinian government and Palestinian terrorist organizations.

Google Alert for: terrorist networks

Filed under: Terrorismo, Variable — inteligenciaestrategica @ 6:25 pm

US
<http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2006%5C05%5C04%5Cstory_…
06_pg4_1> releases strategy to combat terrorist travel
Daily Times – Lahore,Pakistan
… efforts to crack down on passport forgery and illicit travel networks
used by … and helps to coordinate US government efforts to counter
terrorist movements. …
<http://news.google.com/news?ie=utf8&oe=utf8&persist=1&hl=en&client=go…
cl=http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp%3Fpage%3D2006%255C05%255C04%…
story_4-5-2006_pg4_1> See all stories on this topic
Terrorists
<http://www.voanews.com/english/NewsAnalysis/Terrorism2006-05-03-voa74…>
Exploit the Internet
Voice of America – USA
… networks. Everything can be done on the Internet – and they're doing all
of it," says Weimann. Gabriel Weimann says that when he began monitoring
terrorist …
Inside
<http://blog.washingtonpost.com/earlywarning/2006/05/inside_the_americ…
hunt.html> the Hunt for al-Zarqawi
Washington Post – United States
… continues to develop ever greater situational awareness throughout vital
regions to enhance its effectiveness in combating terrorist networks and
remain a …

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